Three of a Kind
Posted by Andrew on May 13, 2008
With three of the second round series currently tied at two games apiece, with each team winning both games at home, each series as taken a turn that was difficult to see coming only a few short days ago. So what can we expect for the remainder of each of these series?
Lakers — Jazz (2-2)
After the first two games of the series, many thought the Los Angeles Lakers would simply roll over the Utah Jazz en route to an appearance in the NBA Finals. After all, isn’t that what the league would want? Having Kobe’s Lakers versus the Big Three in Boston for the NBA title would be a dream come true for the marketability and historical significance of the league. Now, after the Jazz returned home, held serve, and tied the series up at two games a piece, those pesky doubters are starting the come out of the woodwork.
While most observers still seem to favor the Lakers, who still hold homecourt advantage in the series, the questions about Kobe Bryant’s sore back have caused some to question whether or not they could be in trouble in this series. While Kobe has played through injuries as much as anyone in recent memory, a most believe a back problem is a bit more serious than some of the other injuries he’s previously faced in his career. The real question is, was he playing it up, trying to create some additional drama, or is he really hurt? The fact that he said he would play in Game 5 in Los Angeles only hours after the game in which he was hurt, tells you that it probably cannot be too serious or he’d at least wait to see how his body reacts to treatment and rest before making such a statement. The other thing that has to be considered if he really is seriously hurt, is whether or not he’ll be effective enough to actually help his team. He took seven of his teams ten shot attempts in the overtime period against Utah in Game 4, while suffering through the back injury, but only made one of those seven attempts. He also didn’t have any assists during the overtime period, which has to make you wonder if he just didn’t play well, or if the injury really limited his ability to produce the way he’s accustomed to.
One of the keys to Game 5, besides Kobe’s health, of course, will be the play of Carlos Boozer, who had 27 points and 20 rebounds in Game 3, but only 14 points, on 5-of-15 shooting, and 12 rebounds in increased minutes in Game 4. He simply has to play better for the Jazz to have a chance to win. As for the Lakers, they cannot allow Derek Fisher to get into foul trouble as he didn’t in Game 4, because his backup, Jordan Farmar, has been getting absolutely killed by Utah’s Deron Williams. I cannot remember a more lopsided matchup at point guard than this one, as Farmar is letting Williams do whatever he wants on offense, while only shooting 1-for-16 from the field, with only four assists, for the series.
Celtics — Cavaliers (2-2)
The Boston Celtics can’t possibly think they’re championship material, can they? Their coach, Doc Rivers, seems to be questioning it, as he recently said, “We need to play better under stress.” Isn’t that code for, ‘we’re choking and not dealing too well with the high expectations,’ and he’s absolutely right. They simply don’t have the killer instinct and poise we’re accustomed to seeing in championship caliber teams. The C’s don’t make baskets or get stops when they need them most, and they don’t have a single individual who can take over in the late stages of a game, like nearly every championship team of the past two decades. Yes, they have some great offensive players, but none of them has stepped up, taken control, and willed his team to victory, the way LeBron James has done for the Cavs on multiple occasions.
Face it, these guys simply don’t finish the way their talent level and regular season record would suggest. Paul Pierce admitted as much when he said, “This is a game that we let slip away.” This is starting to sound a lot like a broken record. Wasn’t those same words muttered when they lost three times to a far inferior Atlanta Hawks team in the first round, a series that many thought would go four games — five max? During the first round, TNT analyst Charles Barkley talked a length about how championship teams are the greedy ones, they “go for the sweep” and don’t let games just slip away. A legitimate championship contender wouldn’t have let the Atlanta Hawks take them to seven games and would have stolen at least one game from the Cavs and returned home for Game 6 to put the series away. That didn’t happen and now the Celtics have themselves a problem, going a full length series against a team with a player like LeBron James, who seems to have finally figured out how to get his against that once-daunting Celtics defense.
Is this series over for the Celtics? Of course not, but it’s a good thing they have home court advantage, because they’re going to need it if they want to close out the Cavs.
Hornets — Spurs (2-2)
While most of us thought the Spurs were ready to roll over and die after watching them play during the first two games of the series, like the Jazz and Cavaliers, they too responded well to a heavy dose of home cooking in Games 3 and 4. As the series turns back to New Orleans tonight for Game 5, why have to ask yourself, have the Spurs of old returned? Will that championship experience give them the edge, and will the young, inexperienced Hornets be satisfied to simply push the defending champions to six games? While it’s hard to believe the Chris Paul-led Hornets would be satisfied with what they’ve done so far, these post-Game 4 quotes don’t bode well.
“Our intensity was terrible,” Byron Scott said. “From Game 1 to Game 4, it’s gotten worse, and theirs has gotten better. They’re just kicking our butts right now.”
“I don’t even think we tried tonight,” echoed David West, following Game 4.
This is something that will have to be watched closely, as the Spurs have a way of taking the will out of their opponents, and it appears they may have done so with the Hornets. We’ll see how the Hornets respond back at home tonight.
As John Hollinger points out in his analysis of the series, the Spurs’ ball movement has been extremely good in Games 3 and 4, with the ball flying around the perimeter once one of the big three gave it up and seemingly always landing in the paws of an open shooter. That is what enabled the Spurs to shoot 58.9 percent through three quarters and assist 22 of their 33 field goals in Game 4. Hollinger also correctly points out that nearly all the ones that weren’t assisted were straight screen-and-roll drives by Parker.
“It’s all about moving the ball against these guys,” Duncan said. “We know where they’re coming from and we have to find our shooters and make jump shots.” This, along with their ability to continue to shut down Peja Stojakovic and Tyson Chandler will be keys to victory for the Spurs.
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May 14, 2008 at 7:58 am
It was too late to stay up and watch two teams I don’t cheer for, although if I’m cheering it is against the Spurs. I saw the first half and went to bed worried that SA would pull another one out of the hat. I was SO happy to see that Timmy and Co. got waxed in the second half. I like David West and he was great in the first half and apparently stayed in that mode for the second half. So I say to the Hornets, “Good on ya’” I just hope they end up playing the Jazz in the WC finals and Deron Williams gets to show who the real “best point guard” is!
May 14, 2008 at 9:11 am
Man, David West was nothing short of amazing last night. He had something like 38 points, 14 rebounds, 5 assists, and 5 blocked shots in the game last night and was playing with a stiff back for the entire second half. I think the Spurs are in some serious trouble in this one.
As for the Jazz, as long as Boozer shows up and Williams continues to play like he’s capable, they’ll have a good shot a stealing Game 5 from the Lakers. I’d say the Lakers have themselves a must-win game here, because if they lose, the Jazz will close them out in SLC in Game 6. If the Jazz lose, they’ll still have a chance to win back at home and then another chance in Los Angeles in Game 7. The pressure is all on the Lakers.
May 14, 2008 at 9:16 am
As I mentioned on the LeBron post, it looks as if LeBron has finally figured this Celtic defense out, but playing on the same level back in Boston will certainly be a challenge, even for him. If any part of his squad shows signs of life in Game 5, the Celtics could be in loads of trouble.
May 14, 2008 at 5:28 pm
I’m going for the Hornets, but what a lame series. Every game has been a blowout.
May 14, 2008 at 6:10 pm
I like the Hornets too, especially after last night, but the Spurs should return to form in San Antonio. Game 7, if it happens, should be a great one.
May 14, 2008 at 9:01 pm
I’m sitting here watching the Celtics / Cavs game and can’t help but think about LeBron dunking over the triple teams he’s been getting all night long. This is the closest thing to an unstoppable player that the NBA has, except for Kobe when he’s dropping 81.
May 14, 2008 at 9:14 pm
“[T]hey don’t have a single individual who can take over in the late stages of a game.” I believe KG took your words to heart, as he’s tearing through the Cavs weak D as we speak. We’ll see if he can keep it up.
May 14, 2008 at 11:51 pm
KG was incredible tonight, I have to believe it was because of what I said! No really, he was great, but I think there were several people way more outspoken than me that may have prompted his big game. Jim Rome was pretty vocal about it, I know that for sure.
As for the Lakers / Jazz, so much for Kobe’s sore back! Either he had some miracle treatment within the past two days or he was playing it up like the drama queen he is, because there was no stiffness in him game tonight. It’s only three quarters through, but so far he has played like the Kobe of old, without showing any signs of limitations that would be inevitable with a sore back.
May 15, 2008 at 12:28 am
I think the Jazz used the “hack-a-kobe” strategy, but nobody told them that it doesn’t quite work as well as the “hack-a-shaq” method. What a waste. Boozer’s a complete fraud.
May 15, 2008 at 12:36 am
I figured that game would bring you here. They couldn’t keep anybody off the offensive boards, regardless of how many Vujacic bricks were tossed up. The second chance points is the main reason Utah isn’t headed home, up 3-2. That and the fact that AK was trying to be the main offensive threat down the stretch. What was he thinking?
May 15, 2008 at 5:10 pm
That game was thrown away by Utah. They had the Lakers on the ropes, but through up too many bricks and couldn’t keep Gasol and Odom off the boards. Winning in Los Angeles will be a lot tougher in Game 7, that’s for sure.
May 15, 2008 at 7:45 pm
I love Neil Everett’s (from Sportscenter) assertion that Deron Williams “did not have a good first two games in L.A.” What is this guy talking about? Averaging 20 and 10 in the first two games isn’t good enough? Are our expectations of these players getting so out of control that those kinds of numbers are no longer acceptable? Gimme a break, watch the games.
May 15, 2008 at 11:04 pm
I guess there will be a Game 7 in New Orleans. If Utah and Cleveland hold serve at home, this will easily be one of the best semifinal rounds in recent playoff history. I’ll agree though, that each of these games versus New Orleans and San Antonio has been completely boring.
May 16, 2008 at 1:12 am
The Jazz actually did well rebounding overall, even though they missed a couple big ones down the stretch. The real difference is that while the Lakers had Gasol, Odom, and Kobe all serving as reliable offensive options, the Jazz only had Williams with a little help from AK47 and Brewer. Boozer was again nowhere to be found on offense. I was watching at the beginning of the game and he didn’t even touch the ball until about halfway through the first quarter. Boozer’s final stats don’t look horrible but two of his baskets came at the end when the game was basically lost.
I think the Jazz still have a good chance. It would have been a lot better had they made a couple of those shots and stolen one in LA, but this looks like the Houston series from last year all over again.
May 16, 2008 at 9:38 am
The difference is last season against Houston, they were playing them so closely, it was easy to have faith that they’d win at Houston in Game 7. The way their playing in L.A. is less encouraging, despite the fact that they kept it close in Game 5. They still have a chance, I’m just not sure that it’s a good chance.